Presents a general procedure for developing water scenarios. Techniques are reviewed for each scenario development step and limitations of existing scenario development studies are demonstrated. A probabilistic framework is proposed for future scenario development practice.
Mahmoud, M., H. Gupta, and S. Rajagopal, 2011. Scenario development for water resource planning and water management: methodology and semi-arid region case study. Environmental Modelling & Software, 26: 873-885. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2012.09.015